This policy brief analyzes the American political economy past and present through the lens of “predistribution.” Predistribution policies seek to achieve greater equality in opportunities, resources, and power, whereas redistribution policies take from some and give to others. Predistribution policies include public investments in education to foster substantive equality of opportunity and market regulations to balance power in the economy. Redistribution policies include progressive taxation and welfare spending to achieve greater equality of outcomes, such as income and wealth. We readily acknowledge that the two types of policy can blur in practice, yet the conceptual distinction is useful nonetheless.

We contend that the predistribution policy agenda provides the most compelling alternative to neoliberalism and plutocratic populism, both in theory and in practice. The term “neoliberal” can be used to refer to everything from an ideology to a stage of capitalism to a basket of policies. In the realm of theory, neoliberals tend to hold the free market as an ideal. They view markets as arenas of freedom and government actions as constraints on individual freedom and impediments to market efficiency. Therefore, they seek to limit government “intervention” in markets. In practice, however, US neoliberalism since the 1970s has not reduced government regulation but rather shifted market governance in favor of those with wealth and power. Plutocracy refers to government by and for the rich, while populism denotes movements that mobilize mass support by claiming to represent the common people against the elite. Hence, plutocratic populism constitutes a mutant form of neoliberalism more than a break from it in that it still seeks to redistribute power and wealth upward. Therefore, the antidote to both neoliberalism and plutocratic populism would be to reverse the arrows in the other direction—and that is the essence of the predistribution solution.

About the authors

Sunny Malhotra

Master of Science Student, Socio-Ecological Economics and Policy, Vienna University of Economics and Business

Steven Vogel

Steven Vogel

Chair and Head Graduate Advisor, Designated Emphasis in Political Economy

Steven K. Vogel is director of the Political Economy Program, the Il Han New Professor of Asian Studies, and a professor of political science and political economy at the University of California, Berkeley. He specializes in the political economy of advanced industrialized nations, especially Japan. His most recent book, entitled Marketcraft: How Governments Make Markets Work (Oxford, 2018), argues that markets do not arise spontaneously but rather are crafted by individuals, firms, and most of all by governments. Thus “marketcraft” represents a core function of government comparable to statecraft. The book systematically reviews the implications of this argument, critiquing prevalent schools of thought and presenting lessons for policy.

He won the Northern California Association of Phi Beta Kappa Teaching Excellence Award in 2002 and the UC Berkeley Faculty Award for Outstanding Mentorship of Graduate Student Instructors in 2005. He was awarded a commendation from the Japanese minister of foreign affairs for his contribution to Japanese studies in 2018. He has been a columnist for Newsweek-Japan and the Asahi Shimbun, and he has written extensively for the popular press. He has worked as a reporter for the Japan Times in Tokyo and as a freelance journalist in France. He has taught at the University of California, Irvine, and Harvard University. He has a B.A. from Princeton University and a Ph.D. in political science from the University of California, Berkeley.